In the closing months of 2024, XRP (CRYPTO: XRP) emerged as one of the top-performing cryptocurrencies globally. During this time, XRP’s value soared from $0.50 to $2, marking a staggering 300% increase. Although other major cryptocurrencies also experienced significant gains during the post-election period, XRP distinctly stood out.
Can XRP replicate this impressive performance in 2025? It will undoubtedly be challenging, but here are three compelling reasons why XRP might again be this year’s top performer.
Positive Shift in Crypto Regulations
The most significant driver behind XRP’s meteoric rise has undoubtedly been the dramatic shift in U.S. cryptocurrency policy. The newly instated Trump administration has committed to a business-friendly regulatory approach to cryptocurrency, delivering on their promises so far. A pivotal move was the appointment of Paul Atkins, a known cryptocurrency proponent, as the new chairman of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), taking over from Gary Gensler.
This shift is crucial because the SEC has been in a lengthy legal battle with Ripple, the creators of XRP, for over four years. In December 2020, the SEC accused XRP of being a security that was improperly launched, leading to a protracted series of legal disputes and appeals. By mid-2023, Ripple executives disclosed that they might spend over $200 million on litigation to resolve this case. Despite agreeing to a $125 million penalty last year, the litigation is far from over.
The expectation is that a crypto-supportive SEC will finally resolve these issues in 2025, potentially leading to significant new gains for XRP. Clearing these regulatory hurdles would enable Ripple to resume normal business operations in the U.S., as evidenced by their recent announcements of hiring within the country.
Introduction of New ETFs
The easing of regulatory uncertainties around Ripple will simplify the process for investors to invest in XRP, primarily through new spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Several investment firms have already submitted applications for spot XRP ETFs to the SEC, anticipating a release of pent-up demand.
It is anticipated that these new spot XRP ETFs could be launched by mid-year. Their availability is expected to trigger a significant influx of investment into XRP. JPMorgan Chase estimates that as much as $8 billion could flow into XRP as a result. In an optimal scenario, this influx could propel XRP to new record highs above $4, representing a 60% increase from its current price of $2.50. Hence, the ETF application process is critical; approval of one ETF would likely lead to a domino effect, similar to what occurred with Bitcoin and Ethereum spot ETFs.
XRP as a Strategic Reserve Asset?
Amidst growing excitement and speculation, one theory suggests that Ripple might pursue an initial public offering (IPO) and use the proceeds to further enhance the Ripple payment network, which utilizes the XRP token. This bullish sentiment has led some investors to predict that XRP could reach as high as $15 in 2025, a 500% increase following the 400% gains over the past three months.
However, investors should temper their expectations. The SEC litigation is not fully resolved, and the level of institutional interest in an XRP ETF remains uncertain. While retail investors are currently enamored with XRP, the interest from larger institutional investors, such as pension funds and endowments, is not as clear.
My forecast is that XRP will excel this year if it is included in the proposed U.S. strategic reserve of digital assets. Ripple’s advocates are vigorously lobbying for XRP’s inclusion alongside major players like Bitcoin and Ethereum. Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse even met with President Trump in January, aiming to advocate for XRP as a reserve asset.
If the U.S. government endorses XRP, it could trigger a global rush of institutional investors to acquire the asset, potentially leading to unprecedented demand and performance that exceeds even the most optimistic forecasts.
JPMorgan Chase is an advertising partner of Motley Fool Money. Dominic Basulto holds positions in Bitcoin and Ethereum. The Motley Fool recommends and holds positions in Bitcoin, Ethereum, JPMorgan Chase, and XRP. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
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Passionate about analyzing economic markets, Alice M. Carter joined THE NORTHERN FORUM with a mission: to make financial concepts accessible to everyone. With over 10 years of experience in economic journalism, she specializes in global economic trends and US financial policies. She firmly believes that a better understanding of the economy is the key to a more informed future.